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AWWA ACE58149
- Development of Probabilistic Water Demand Forecast for the Tampa Bay Region: A Review of Methodological Features
- Conference Proceeding by American Water Works Association, 06/15/2003
- Publisher: AWWA
$12.00$24.00
In order to develop a better understanding of increases in demand and its implication onwater supply development options, the Tampa Bay Water Authority commissioned thedevelopment of a long-term forecast of water demands. The forecasting effort uses a high-levelof spatial disaggregation and explicitly incorporates uncertainties in long-term growthprojections. The probabilistic model is derived from a recently developed GIS tool constructed atthe traffic analysis zone (TAZ) level, providing reliable and precise estimates of water demandrelationships for prominent user sectors. This approach produces a range of possible futurewater demands, including estimates of the chance of exceeding certain levels of demand over theforecast horizon. Includes table, figures.
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